Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Domi 50.0% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Domi 51.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Matthews
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
49.7% (394)
+3.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
51.7% (58)
+14.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
56.5% (703)
53.2% (235)
Away
50.0% (616)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
52.1%
54.4%
P2
54.0%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
49.6%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%