Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Domi 48.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 83.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 85.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Matthews
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
18
(43 meetings)
25
18
Matthews
Domi
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
10
4
Matthews
Domi
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Domi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
10
11
Matthews
Domi
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.1% (4,296)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
53.4% (633)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
48.8% (41)
+1.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
55.5%
48.7%
P2
53.3%
48.3%
P3
52.8%
49.8%
OT
56.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |