Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Domi 50.2% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Domi 62.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Matthews
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
49.7% (499)
+8.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
56.8% (44)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
0.0% (1)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
59.1% (528)
51.0% (298)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
56.2%
54.8%
P2
58.1%
48.9%
P3
56.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%