Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Domi 50.9% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 50.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Matthews
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.4% (254)
+9.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
59.3% (27)
+5.6%
On even strength, Matthews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
60.0% (520)
50.0% (174)
Away
59.3% (452)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
60.2%
45.7%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
60.4%
57.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%