Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Kadri 49.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 83.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 78.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Matthews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Kadri
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
50.2% (849)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.6% (235)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
43.0% (93)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kadri
Home
60.7% (572)
48.5% (557)
Away
52.4% (657)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Matthews
Kadri
P1
60.3%
49.5%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
53.3%
47.8%
OT
45.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |