Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Kadri 46.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 97.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Matthews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Matthews
Kadri
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Kadri
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
45.7% (1,295)
+12.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
52.7% (146)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
34.8% (23)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kadri
Home
59.1% (528)
46.5% (725)
Away
55.1% (695)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Matthews
Kadri
P1
56.2%
47.2%
P2
58.1%
44.9%
P3
56.4%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |