Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Kadri 49.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 93.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 84.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Matthews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Matthews
Kadri
Last 8: Matthews 6-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.7% (975)
+5.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
54.0% (226)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
55.6% (9)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kadri
Home
56.5% (703)
48.3% (621)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Matthews
Kadri
P1
52.1%
48.1%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
49.8%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |