Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Zacha 49.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 83.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 73.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Matthews
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Matthews
Zacha
Last 9: Matthews 2-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Matthews
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Matthews
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
47.8% (619)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.6% (29)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
54.7% (64)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Zacha is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zacha
Home
54.3% (420)
50.8% (394)
Away
50.3% (491)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Matthews
Zacha
P1
54.2%
48.5%
P2
54.3%
51.2%
P3
47.8%
47.6%
OT
55.6%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |