Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Matthews
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
48.0% (296)
+8.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
61.0% (59)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
50.0% (22)
+0.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zacha
Home
60.7% (572)
48.9% (223)
Away
52.4% (657)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Matthews
Zacha
P1
60.3%
47.9%
P2
55.6%
48.3%
P3
53.3%
54.3%
OT
45.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%