Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Zacha 46.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 87.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 90.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Matthews
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Matthews
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
45.3% (247)
+7.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.1% (31)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
22.2% (18)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zacha
Home
54.8% (515)
39.7% (131)
Away
50.2% (534)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Matthews
Zacha
P1
54.4%
42.9%
P2
50.4%
46.4%
P3
51.8%
42.3%
OT
75.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |