Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Faksa 50.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 58.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 68.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Matthews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Matthews
Faksa
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Faksa
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
2
Matthews
Faksa
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
50.3% (915)
+2.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
46.2% (52)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
52.1% (165)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Faksa is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Matthews
Faksa
Home
54.3% (420)
50.1% (561)
Away
50.3% (491)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Matthews
Faksa
P1
54.2%
45.2%
P2
54.3%
53.0%
P3
47.8%
52.4%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |