Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Faksa 52.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 41-25 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 92.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 62.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Matthews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
25
(66 meetings)
41
25
Matthews
Faksa
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
20
3
Matthews
Faksa
23 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Matthews
Faksa
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
15
16
Matthews
Faksa
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
52.8% (6,681)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
57.7% (291)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.3% (1,372)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Matthews
Faksa
Home
56.3% (5,065)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Matthews
Faksa
P1
55.5%
53.0%
P2
53.3%
52.5%
P3
52.8%
52.0%
OT
56.6%
45.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |