Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Faksa 53.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 69.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.0%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Matthews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Matthews
Faksa
Last 9: Matthews 6-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
Matthews
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
56.4% (401)
-3.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
77.8% (9)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.5% (110)
-3.6%
On power play, Faksa has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Matthews
Faksa
Home
56.5% (703)
49.0% (249)
Away
50.0% (616)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Matthews
Faksa
P1
52.1%
58.2%
P2
54.0%
53.6%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
57.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |