Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Faksa 54.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 67.7%
Neutral zone
Faksa 50.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Matthews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthews
Faksa
Last 5: Matthews 3-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Matthews
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
55.1% (584)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
66.7% (12)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
53.5% (99)
-3.5%
On power play, Faksa has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Matthews
Faksa
Home
60.7% (572)
54.5% (341)
Away
52.4% (657)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Matthews
Faksa
P1
60.3%
60.9%
P2
55.6%
53.9%
P3
53.3%
51.4%
OT
45.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |