Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.0%). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Faksa 56.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 67.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 61.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 54.8%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Matthews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Matthews
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
56.9% (671)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
85.7% (7)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
55.0% (80)
-4.3%
On power play, Faksa has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Matthews
Faksa
Home
59.1% (528)
59.5% (375)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Matthews
Faksa
P1
56.2%
61.2%
P2
58.1%
54.5%
P3
56.4%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |