Auston Matthews vs Robert Thomas
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Thomas 51.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 67.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 71.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Matthews
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
19
(44 meetings)
25
19
Matthews
Thomas
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
6
Matthews
Thomas
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
7
Matthews
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
6
Matthews
Thomas
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
51.1% (5,350)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.8% (921)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.9% (691)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thomas
Home
56.3% (5,065)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Matthews
Thomas
P1
55.5%
50.6%
P2
53.3%
52.9%
P3
52.8%
50.8%
OT
56.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |