Auston Matthews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 69.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
45.4% (527)
+7.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
41.2% (17)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.9% (138)
+30.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.8% (515)
46.1% (336)
Away
50.2% (534)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.4%
49.1%
P2
50.4%
45.3%
P3
51.8%
42.0%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |