Auston Matthews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
47.6% (189)
+11.0%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
100.0% (2)
-34.3%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
29.4% (17)
+28.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.0% (475)
48.5% (132)
Away
57.2% (346)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.3%
51.4%
P2
58.4%
41.3%
P3
59.4%
48.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%