Auston Matthews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 71.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
6
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
5
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
44.9% (8,756)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
50.7% (839)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
37.9% (879)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.3% (5,065)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.5%
45.1%
P2
53.3%
43.9%
P3
52.8%
45.3%
OT
56.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |