Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Strome 47.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 92.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 74.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Matthews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Matthews
Strome
Last 9: Matthews 8-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
0
Matthews
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
47.8% (813)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
56.4% (133)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
32.7% (98)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
57.0% (440)
47.5% (535)
Away
53.1% (480)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
54.0%
46.4%
P2
55.1%
48.3%
P3
56.4%
47.9%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |