Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 85.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Matthews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Matthews
Strome
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
44.1% (749)
+12.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
46.2% (52)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
52.9% (17)
-2.9%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
60.7% (572)
45.1% (441)
Away
52.4% (657)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
60.3%
42.9%
P2
55.6%
44.4%
P3
53.3%
45.8%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |