Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Strome 44.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Matthews
Strome
Last 7: Matthews 3-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Matthews
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
43.0% (788)
+9.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.9% (96)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.0% (34)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
54.8% (515)
42.6% (486)
Away
50.2% (534)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
54.4%
41.0%
P2
50.4%
47.8%
P3
51.8%
42.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |