Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Strome 46.8% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Matthews
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
46.4% (371)
+7.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
43.3% (97)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
55.6% (18)
-13.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
56.5% (703)
47.6% (225)
Away
50.0% (616)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
52.1%
45.4%
P2
54.0%
47.6%
P3
54.0%
45.2%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%