Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Strome 45.2% (+16.1%)
Offensive zone
Strome 59.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 58.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Matthews
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
44.2% (267)
+15.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
37.0% (27)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.0% (4)
+6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
60.0% (520)
42.0% (157)
Away
59.3% (452)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
60.2%
40.0%
P2
58.2%
46.4%
P3
60.4%
44.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%