Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 60.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Matthews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Matthews
Monahan
Last 7: Matthews 4-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Matthews
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
51.5% (641)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
62.8% (129)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Matthews
Monahan
Home
60.7% (572)
53.9% (362)
Away
52.4% (657)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Matthews
Monahan
P1
60.3%
48.0%
P2
55.6%
57.0%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
45.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |