Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 50.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Matthews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Matthews
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
57.1% (871)
-3.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
53.1% (262)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
44.6% (139)
-2.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Matthews
Monahan
Home
56.5% (703)
55.3% (644)
Away
50.0% (616)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Matthews
Monahan
P1
52.1%
53.9%
P2
54.0%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
54.4%
OT
57.7%
76.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |