Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Monahan 53.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Matthews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Matthews
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
54.5% (231)
-1.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.2% (67)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
52.2% (23)
+22.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Matthews
Monahan
Home
54.8% (515)
53.5% (144)
Away
50.2% (534)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Matthews
Monahan
P1
54.4%
52.5%
P2
50.4%
50.9%
P3
51.8%
60.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |