Auston Matthews vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 28 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 47-41 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 70.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Matthews
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
41
(88 meetings)
47
41
Matthews
Aho
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
18
Matthews
Aho
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
19
9
Matthews
Aho
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
18
14
Matthews
Aho
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.1% (6,619)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
46.3% (464)
+3.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Matthews
Aho
Home
56.3% (5,065)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Matthews
Aho
P1
55.5%
51.1%
P2
53.3%
52.0%
P3
52.8%
50.7%
OT
56.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |