Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Thompson 43.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 98.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 83.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 90.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Matthews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Matthews
Thompson
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
4
Matthews
Thompson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
43.3% (735)
+9.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (26)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
36.5% (52)
+38.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thompson
Home
54.8% (515)
44.5% (407)
Away
50.2% (534)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Matthews
Thompson
P1
54.4%
44.4%
P2
50.4%
44.8%
P3
51.8%
40.2%
OT
75.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |