Auston Matthews vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 47 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 55-30 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 98.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 97.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 97.3%
97.3%
2.7%
Matthews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
30
(85 meetings)
55
30
Matthews
Thompson
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
15
7
Matthews
Thompson
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
5
Matthews
Thompson
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
29
18
Matthews
Thompson
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
42.9% (3,521)
+11.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
46.8% (372)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
33.6% (265)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thompson
Home
56.3% (5,065)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Matthews
Thompson
P1
55.5%
44.5%
P2
53.3%
43.6%
P3
52.8%
40.2%
OT
56.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |