Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Nosek 53.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Matthews
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Matthews
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
55.1% (557)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (4)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.7% (111)
+2.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nosek
Home
60.7% (572)
52.3% (342)
Away
52.4% (657)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Matthews
Nosek
P1
60.3%
49.0%
P2
55.6%
53.8%
P3
53.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |