Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Nosek 51.4% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 56.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Matthews
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.0% (400)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
33.3% (12)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
45.5% (44)
+5.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nosek
Home
59.1% (528)
49.6% (244)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Matthews
Nosek
P1
56.2%
53.1%
P2
58.1%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%