Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Nosek 51.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 74.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Matthews
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.4% (215)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
0.0% (1)
+65.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
23.5% (17)
+18.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nosek
Home
56.5% (703)
50.4% (127)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Matthews
Nosek
P1
52.1%
51.4%
P2
54.0%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
54.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |