Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Nosek 46.9% (+16.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Matthews
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
48.5% (66)
+11.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
100.0% (1)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
29.6% (27)
+26.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nosek
Home
60.0% (520)
44.0% (25)
Away
59.3% (452)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Matthews
Nosek
P1
60.2%
46.4%
P2
58.2%
34.2%
P3
60.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%