Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.9%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Seguin 54.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Matthews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Seguin
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
55.1% (1,036)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
56.9% (174)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
52.2% (230)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Matthews
Seguin
Home
59.8% (351)
58.9% (703)
Away
49.0% (337)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Matthews
Seguin
P1
58.0%
54.5%
P2
49.6%
53.7%
P3
55.4%
57.0%
OT
83.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
56.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |