Auston Matthews vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Matthews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Matthews
Seguin
Last 10: Matthews 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
7
Matthews
Seguin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
7
Matthews
Seguin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
7
Matthews
Seguin
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.9% (810)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.3% (762)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Matthews
Seguin
Home
56.3% (5,065)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Matthews
Seguin
P1
55.5%
52.8%
P2
53.3%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
54.7%
OT
56.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |