Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Seguin 51.8% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 62.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Matthews
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
54.8% (135)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
58.3% (24)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
26.7% (15)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Matthews
Seguin
Home
59.1% (528)
47.4% (95)
Away
55.1% (695)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Matthews
Seguin
P1
56.2%
50.8%
P2
58.1%
57.1%
P3
56.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%