Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Matthews
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.2% (201)
+6.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
60.0% (25)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.4% (9)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Matthews
Seguin
Home
60.0% (520)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.3% (452)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Matthews
Seguin
P1
60.2%
44.3%
P2
58.2%
52.1%
P3
60.4%
62.5%
OT
70.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%