Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.0%). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Matthews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
56.5% (712)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
59.7% (67)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
44.9% (49)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Matthews
Seguin
Home
60.7% (572)
58.5% (402)
Away
52.4% (657)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Matthews
Seguin
P1
60.3%
58.4%
P2
55.6%
54.7%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
45.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |