Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Larkin 52.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 53.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 87.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 68.6%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Goodrow
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Goodrow
Larkin
Last 5: Goodrow 0-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Goodrow
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Goodrow
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Goodrow
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
51.8% (903)
-2.5%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
56.0% (225)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
47.4% (76)
-1.2%
On power play, Goodrow has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Larkin
Home
50.6% (385)
55.6% (662)
Away
48.0% (356)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Goodrow
Larkin
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
46.9%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |