Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Larkin 52.4% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Goodrow
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.7% (878)
-12.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.5% (246)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.2% (166)
+11.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Larkin
Home
36.0% (25)
52.4% (647)
Away
54.5% (11)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Goodrow
Larkin
P1
46.2%
52.2%
P2
30.8%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
22.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%