Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Larkin 54.2% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Goodrow
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
52.6% (1,117)
-2.6%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
60.7% (305)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
55.9% (177)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Larkin
Home
40.0% (130)
54.7% (783)
Away
45.9% (122)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Goodrow
Larkin
P1
48.8%
55.9%
P2
35.0%
56.1%
P3
44.8%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%