Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Duchene 55.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 91.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 67.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Goodrow
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Goodrow
Duchene
Last 10: Goodrow 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Goodrow
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Goodrow
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
56.0% (579)
-3.7%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
59.3% (108)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
25.0% (8)
+19.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
52.9% (361)
54.9% (375)
Away
46.1% (438)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
48.4%
58.3%
P2
48.1%
56.7%
P3
51.1%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2019 | OT | 03:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |