Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Duchene 51.6% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 50.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 53.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Goodrow
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.2% (324)
-11.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.4% (53)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
16.7% (6)
+43.3%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
36.0% (25)
51.6% (182)
Away
54.5% (11)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
46.2%
49.6%
P2
30.8%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
22.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%