Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Duchene 55.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 80.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.2%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Goodrow
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Goodrow
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Goodrow
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Goodrow
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
56.5% (566)
-1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
61.3% (62)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
22.2% (9)
+22.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
57.2% (332)
56.6% (318)
Away
50.3% (292)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
50.8%
57.2%
P2
59.5%
55.1%
P3
51.8%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |