Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Duchene 52.1% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 80.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.1%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Goodrow
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
53.9% (193)
-7.1%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
49.2% (65)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
100.0% (1)
-57.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
44.3% (314)
54.9% (113)
Away
47.7% (279)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
46.8%
54.9%
P2
44.0%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%