Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Goodrow
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Goodrow
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
53.0% (723)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
49.5% (101)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
43.8% (16)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
40.0% (130)
54.9% (408)
Away
45.9% (122)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
48.8%
52.5%
P2
35.0%
51.7%
P3
44.8%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |