Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Duchene 52.8% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 85.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 61.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Goodrow
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
46.9% (162)
+2.4%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
73.2% (56)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
100.0% (2)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
50.6% (385)
58.4% (125)
Away
48.0% (356)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
49.1%
56.9%
P2
46.9%
52.5%
P3
52.3%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%