Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Dowd 49.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 50.2%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goodrow
Dowd
Last 5: Goodrow 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Goodrow
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
50.7% (379)
+1.6%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
64.3% (14)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
46.5% (157)
-2.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
52.9% (361)
53.7% (244)
Away
46.1% (438)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
48.4%
53.6%
P2
48.1%
44.1%
P3
51.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |