Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 61.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 73.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.4%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Goodrow
Dowd
Last 10: Goodrow 2-8 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
7
Goodrow
Dowd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Goodrow
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
52.4% (6,009)
-0.1%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
56.1% (164)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
44.1% (1,635)
+0.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,556).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
51.9% (2,109)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
50.5%
51.7%
P2
49.2%
50.4%
P3
51.3%
50.3%
OT
35.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |